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August 5, 2007

On Design Thinking

I came across a great Fast Company article titled "Strategy by Design" by Tim Brown, CEO of IDEO, written back in June 2005. Tim emphasizes the importance of design thinking as a catalyst for innovation productivity. "Where you innovate, how you innovate, and what you innovate are design problems."

People need to have a visceral understanding -- an image in their minds -- of why you've chosen a certain strategy and what you're attempting to create with it. Design is ideally suited to this endeavor. It can't help but create tangible, real outcomes.

Because it's pictorial, design describes the world in a way that's not open to many interpretations. Designers, by making a film, scenario, or prototype, can help people emotionally experience the thing that the strategy seeks to describe. If, say, Motorola unveils a plan to create products that have never existed before, everyone in the organization will have a different idea of what that means. But if Motorola creates a video so people can see those products, or makes prototypes so people can touch them, everyone has the same view.

Unfortunately, many people continue to think of design in very narrow terms...

Ideo's Five Point Model
  1. Hit the streets. Go out there and be observant. Get original insights from your market.
  2. Recruit T-shaped people. People with breadth and depth. Expertise in one area that can be applied to many disciplines.
  3. Build to think. Focus on problem solving. "Design thinking is inherently a prototyping process....The goal isn't to create a close approximation of the finished product or process; the goal is to elicit feedback that helps us work through the problem we're trying to solve."
  4. The prototype tells the story. Generate feedback and make corrections. Visually describe your strategy.
  5. Design is never done. We live in a changing world. "The market is always changing; your strategy needs to change with it. Since design thinking is inherently rooted in the world, it is ideally suited to helping your strategy evolve."

Some Thoughts

  • Is design often overlooked? Even in my undergraduate computer science courses at Penn, I've remembered that the "specification" phase was often rushed through or , worse yet, done -after- the coding was completed.
  • How easy is it to sell design? Of course, from a business perspective, people like to see numbers and quantify the value of a feature, project, idea, etc. Adaptive Path has taken a look at this issue by applying ROI methodology to user experience design, ensuing that companies are only investing in high-value projects. The truth of the matter is that it's almost impossible to appropriately capture all the "value" derived from design and user experience. If this is the case, how do design consultant shops effectively pitch to new clients who don't recognize the benefits of design thinking?
  • Design thinking is here to stay. Just watch the trends. Emerging design schools (Stanford's d.school and Copenhagen Institute of Interaction Design). iPod/iPhone phenomenon. Google and importance of simplicity. Less is more. "Web 2.0"-style design.

Related Articles

» Interview with Tim Brown, CEO of IDEO (by Brandon Schauer of Adaptive Path)

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July 8, 2007

Finding the Influential Few

My recent conversations with my friend Doug has got me thinking more about our information overloaded society and how people can best find what they want or "separate signal from noise" be it on the internet, in the real world, etc.

Inside the Blogosphere

In particular, we were talking about finding "good quality" topical blogs. While blogging has enabled mass participation from everyone, it has also made the entire universe more cluttered, crowded, and hard to filter through. You always get the good with the bad.

Like what happens in mainstream media, it seems that a few, key influential blogs (either by an individual or group of bloggers) have a widespread effect on the content on all posts across different subsystems of the blog world:

  • In tech: TechCrunch, GigaOM, Read/Write Web, Mashable, Engadget, or individuals like Don Dodge...
  • In VC blogging world: Brad Feld, Fred Wilson, Guy Kawasaki, Lightspeed Venture Partners ..
In many ways, these blogs produce a sort of whirlpool echo effect. The subjects addressed drive a lot of the subsequent content, comments, and opinions across each respective subsystem. This new content may then be further echoed across several other, lesser known sites (e.g. those in the "long tail"), creating even more repetitive content. This makes me wonder:
  • Is "long tail" content less unique because of these influential few?
  • Is "long tail" content really driven by the "few" or vice versa? Or both?
  • How do we truly separate signal from noise at a more micro level? Can this process be at all automated, or do we need a real person to ultimately assess "quality?" Sure, there are sophisticated techniques of determining quality of sites, but can this be translated down to a post level? Just like a great author who may write a "bad" book, a great blogger can have some "bad" posts.

Finding Gems in More Micro Worlds

There are sites out there already that helps us filter information: vertical search engines, social bookmarking (digg/reddit), etc. Even in the real world, we see the same filters: New York Times' Bestsellers, Zagat guide, etc. However, what if I don't want to read what everyone else is reading? What about finding the hidden gems inside the "long tail" (e.g. those blogs who have not yet established high authority or rank on Technorati, new authors, etc..)? Or better yet, do we need to do anything at all? In theory, a "good" blogger over time should be able to rise in the ranks (e.g. of Technorati, etc.) as more and more people "discover" his/her content. (Hah, quick financial analog: A undervalued stock who's price has finally returned to "fair" value.) The problem is that, if the blogger is not active about "getting known and out there," this process can take a really long time. And time is what we -don't- have these days. Hmm..there should be some way to speed up this process.....

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June 26, 2007

Applying Buffettology to Venture Capital

Yesterday, I had the pleasure of meeting one of my favorite VC bloggers, Ho Nam, General Partner and co-founder of Altos Ventures on the famous Sand Hill Road in Menlo Park, CA. Ho's posts are always very insightful, thoughtful, and well-written --- full of inspirational or witty quotes, personal anecdotes, facts, and opinions supported by solid business fundamentals.

Value Investing and Venture Capital

Ho's blog is the first I've seen that actively applies the principles of Warren Buffett and value investing to venture capital. This struck me as unusual. Why? Because they tend to be very different. It's like apples and oranges. Here are the major differences I see --

  1. Diversification - Where do you put your eggs? The conventional VC business model (which Ho calls "Venture Lotto") involves investing large sums of capital in a lot of different startups in hopes of one mega-hit (e.g. a Google) to cover all the other losses. On the flip side, Buffett follows the words of Mark Twain: "Put all your eggs in one basket, and watch that basket!" He prefers large, infrequent bets where the odds are in his favor.
  2. Time horizon - "Buy & Hold Forever" vs. "When Can I Cash Out?" VCs care a lot about exits and multiples. So does Wall Street. (This is only re-emphasized in the "Finance of Venture Capital" class I took at Wharton with Professor Andrew Metrick.) The numbers matter a lot more than the underlying business (the qualitative factors). Buffett, on the other hand, invests for the quality and long-term sustainability of the business based on economic factors, business model, strength of management, etc. Hence, his favorite holding period is "forever."
  3. Industry - What's your favorite? Buffett avoids technology completely. He sees the industry as "speculative" and doesn't believe anyone can "predict the future." As a result, he preaches investing in businesses you know and understand well or staying within your "circle of competence." Meanwhile, all the VCs in Silicon Valley largely invest in technology or just growth.

It was through reading Ho's blog and speaking with him in person that I've come to realize that these two camps are actually very similar. At the end of the day, there are common principles of what makes good, sustainable businesses. That being said, I feel Altos Ventures positions itself very well in terms of applying these fundamentals to its venture investments, focusing more on those "qualitative" factors and making more careful investment decisions rather than throwing money out randomly and "seeing what sticks."

Value Investing Opportunities Today

What I really wonder, is how likely these kind of unique opportunities actually exist in today's world (compared to the time Buffett invested)? With the rise of internet, information and knowledge is much more readily available and more "free." Is it much harder to "know more than the market" compared to the past? While Buffett relied on his newspapers and didn't believe a computer program could make sound investment decisions, I would say that with the added aid of technology, it's now possible for a Buffett-type investor to not only acquire more information (e.g. interesting / niche content, annual reports, etc.) at a faster rate but also interpret that information. For instance, today's value investor may use software to draw diagrams on financial data and see trends (e.g. illustrating the facts on the computer) and then use the increased information (from news sources, blogs, etc.) to assess the qualitative factors of the business. This way the data reading and opinion formation of the investor is still separated.

More Takeways from Chat
  • Technology and growth can be your "circle of competence." While these sectors have far more unpredictable futures, Ho pointed out that it is possible to be a true industry expert, understand the business, and see future trends. He pointed out the extraordinary track record of now angel investor Andy Bechtolsheim, one of the early investors in Google. Andy's hit rate beats that of many VCs. While this may be possible, I wonder if visionaries like Andy (and Steve Jobs) are the just the more exceptional and rare cases.
  • Be interested. Curiosity is the first step. More important that "being interesting."
  • Do more thinking. Ho tells me doesn't read blogs or newspapers that much anymore. "How often do we stop to just think?" he asked.
  • Try to eliminate / cut down on the things that waste time. Ho tries to avoid constantly checking email. He hates his Blackberry at times.

Concluding Thought: Does a "good" business necessarily have to have "long-term" sustainability as Buffett seems to look for? What if you are just doing well in the shorter term (5, 7, 10 years out)? Perhaps things change because of consumer preferences or just some other disruptive technology. In other words, is it necessarily "evil" that people are overly concerned with exits (short term gain)?

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June 18, 2007

Encouraging more girls to pursue tech

During my trip last week to Boulder, CO, I had the pleasure of meeting Lucy Sanders, CEO and Co-Founder of the National Center for Women & Information Technology (NCWIT), and Jill Ross, Director of Image of Computing at the University of Colorado. NCWIT recently launched their Heroes project, a series of 15-minute interviews with 20 selected women IT entrepreneurs chosen from more than 100 nominations.

I really admire Lucy Sanders. She has a highly impressive background: worked R&D and executive positions at AT&T Bell Labs, Lucent Bell Labs, and Avaya Labs for over 20 years, awarded Bell Labs Fellow (highest technical accomplishment) in 1996, and has served on the boards of an array of organizations from academic institutions to venture-backed companies to non-profit organizations. What I really like is the fact she has made significant contributions in both the private and public spheres, having a broad influence not just within a company but to the community at large.

Lucy's work echoes the work of Janet Hanson and 85 Broads, a global network of more than 13,000 members worldwide for women in business. I met Janet last summer when I worked at Lehman Brothers. Janet's vibrant personality and energy definitely shined as she spoke. You could tell she truly genuinely cared about her work. She even told us that she envisioned 85 Broads cafes all over New York City one day.

I really support the work of Lucy and Janet and hope to encourage women to pursue science, technology, and business. It's not about trying to "level the playing field" and "forcing" women to study these subjects. Rather, it's making sure that they are not discouraged to try it out. For instance, I know a number of my friends (both female and male) who did not pursue engineering because they thought it was "too hard" and "too much work." "I don't want to spend all this time and have it lower my GPA," a friend told me.

I do admit there are sacrifices to be made. Engineering = more requirements, more labs, more classes, more time. Ultimately, I think the most important thing is to find out what you like to do. Don't be afraid to take a class. Grades are overrated. Learn for the sake of learning.

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June 14, 2007

Visiting TechStars - The Lessons

Key Takeaways: Go-To-Market Strategy Session

What is it? How do startups get ahead of customers? How and when do startups execute on strategy? What happens if your strategy fails?

  • Know your customer; be a customer. Try to find a few key customers who might just tell you what they want and then go build that (Reminds me of “Law of a Few” from Malcolm Galdwell’s Tipping Point). What influences your customers? What do they care about? Above all, be passionate about your product. Use it. Test it. Tinker with it.
  • Master storytelling. Why should anyone (e.g. your customer, Wall Street analyst, public relations, etc. -- your constituents) care about your product?
  • Perception is key. People expect things to work. If something is in “beta” stage, it better work. Underpromise and overdeliver.
  • Flexibility is crucial. Have a plan but don’t be afraid to tweak it.
    • 50% proactive - Knowing your strategy
    • 50% reactive - Understanding what market is saying and reacting to feedback
  • Failure is OK. In fact, fail over and over again. Don’t be afraid. You learn more from your mistakes.

Key Takeaways: Transparency and Blogging Session

Panelists: Alex King (Crowd Favorite), Brad Feld (Mobius Venture Capital), Don Loeb (Feedburner), Dave Taylor (serial entrepreneur and consultant)

Should all startups blog? Must they do so nowadays to gain critical mass?

  • Free marketing. Blogs can serve as a great way to spread the word about your product and company. Huge viral and network effects.
  • Be coherent and consistent. Keep blogs focused on specific topics (e.g. separate personal and company blogs).
  • Be thoughtful. Have your own insight and opinion. Do more than copy or reiterate what’s already out there.
  • Have domain expertise. What is your unique contribution? Brad Feld asked one question to the eager founders of the room: “What can we be best in the world at?

While Brad Feld argued for complete transparency in blogging, I feel companies ought to exercise caution. While blogging may be especially beneficial for consumer-oriented internet startups in "spreading the word," it also is a source of competitive intelligence. One interesting point that was brought up was whether or not companies should blog about a "roadblock" they've encountered. Another point was whether or not young people today should be worried about what they are blogging about online. In other words, can the words you say now (e.g. say as a teenager using MySpace or Facebook) be used against you later (e.g. for a future job position)? Since perception is so important, one negative first impression can ruin the future image of the brand (or person).

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June 6, 2007

America's $5 Million Plus Club

Cover story in June 2007 edition of Smart Money:

Key Takeaways
  • Having $1 million is no longer enough. Today, 1 in 12 U.S. households has at least $1 million stored in home equity and other assets. To enter nation's top 1%, you need > $5 million. Even then, there are ~930K in this category.
  • Members of the nation's $5 million plus club share common characteristics.
    • They are active wealth creators. It's not enough to just put in $1K a month in your 401(k) plan at 7%. Though you will end up with $1 million adjusted at the end, you are still dependent on your annual salary and your daytime job.
    • They have a positive, can-do attitude. Follow your gut even when others might tell you otherwise. Utter persistence.
    • They are dedicated and passionate people. "Money . . . wasn't much of a motivator. Once you've got food in your belly and a big-screen TV, the mere prospect of more Benjamins probably isn't enough to get you leaping out of bed at 5am. Rather, rich folks often make their fortune after they make up their minds to solve a problem or do something better than it's ever been done before."
    • They come from more modest backgrounds. Only 10% of nation's $5 million plus club inherited wealth. Mostly came from working to middle class families and graduated from state schools.
  • "Being rich means freedom: to spend your time as you please, to pursue your real interests, and to take a chance without risking utter ruin. Paradoxically, the road to riches often means acting as if you already have that freedom."

Related Note

Seven factors of millionaires from Millionaire Next Door

  1. They live well below their means.
  2. They allocate their time, energy, and money efficiently, in ways conducive to building wealth.
  3. They believe that financial independence is more important than displaying high social status.
  4. Their parents did not provide economic outpatient care.
  5. Their adult children are economically self-sufficient.
  6. They are proficient in targeting market opportunities.
  7. They choose the right occupation.
Eight elements of the economic success equation from The Millionaire's Mind
  1. Understand the key success factors our economy continues and will continue to reward: hard work, integrity and focus.
  2. Never allow a lackluster academic record to stand in the way of becoming economically productive.
  3. Have the courage to take some financial risk. And learn how to overcome defeat.
  4. Select a vocation that is not only unique and profitable; pick one you love.
  5. Be careful in selecting a spouse. Those who are economically productive married husbands or wives who had the characteristics that are compatible with success.
  6. Operate an economically productive household. Many millionaires prefer to repair or refinish rather than buy new.
  7. Follow the lead of millionaires when selecting a home. Study, search, and negotiate aggressively.
  8. Adopt a balanced lifestyle. Many millionaires are "cheap dates." It does not take a lot of money to enjoy the company of your family and friends.

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May 19, 2007

"Living Life in Beta"

Thanks to my friend Solomon Bisker for the link to this BusinessWeek article, "Are Designers The Enemy of Design?" by Bruce Nussbaum.

Key Takeways
  • Design is our future, our life. Not surprising. See 2007 Top Jobs.

    "Over the past decade, design has evolved to become an articulated, formalized method of solving problems that can be widely used in business—and in civil society. Design’s focus on observing consumer/patient/student—human behavior, it’s emphasis on iteration and speed, its ability to construct, not destruct, its search for new options and opportunities, its ability to connect to powerful emotions, its optimism, made converts out of tough CEOs. AG Lafely at P&G, Immelt at GE and many others embraced design. Now Mayor Daley of Chicago and Mayor Livingstone of London are embracing it."

  • Design democracy is the new norm. People want to participate in the designing of their own lives (examples cited: MySpace, iPod, blogs, fashion, Starbucks..). They crave customization, personalization, individualism, and freedom to do whatever they want. They want to feel special, be different, be in control of their lives.
  • New age of creativity and collaboration. The world where everyone will need to work together (a world where MBAs meet artists meet medical doctors meet investment bankers meet engineers).
  • Knowledge and skills are not enough. "The commoditization of manufacturing and knowledge and its outsourcing to Asia, left US companies unable to compete to make profits." Companies need real innovation.

Some Thoughts

Will we continue to live a life of constant change and chaos? How do we provide stability and sustainability? Don't people intuitively want to counter change? Or has modern day 21st-century society already involved to a state where people actually -desire- change?

I see this even in everyday life activities. I'm on vacation with my family in Europe until the end of this month. Just this morning, as we were about to eat lunch, I asked my younger brother Kevin to go to the kitchen for some freshly cooked fried rice. He responded saying, "No, Jing, we've been having rice for the past few days. Why not switch it up a bit? I want some fish fingers ..."

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May 11, 2007

2007 Berkshire Hathaway

Last weekend (May 5th-6th), I had the opportunity to attend the 2007 Annual Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder's Meeting in Omaha, Nebraska. (No, I'm not a shareholder, but a group of us were able to get tickets thanks to knowing people who were shareholders.) A quick summary:

  • 27,000 attended the event from all over the world
  • All the hotels/motels were completely booked. (We actually didn't have a place to stay Friday night so "camped out" at the Hilton across from Qwest Center.)
  • Doors opened 7am Saturday morning, but lines started at 4:30am. Earliest person who arrived, Jerry Brunetti, arrived 8pm Friday evening.
  • Then picture a stampede of people RUNNING for seats at 7am. (We got 3rd row center. Thanks to Theodore's amazing agility and speed!)
  • "Berkstock" video highlights
    • "Woodstock"-style cartoon
    • Buffett vs. Cleveland Cavaliers' LeBron James
    • Buffett vs. 12-yr-old Ariel Hsing in table tennis
    • Tribute to "Berkshire Managers" to tune of "My Favorite Things" from Sound of Music
    • And, of course, various ads from Berkshire portfolio companies
  • 5-6hr Q&A session with Buffett and Munger highlights
    • "I have nothing to say" and "I have nothing else to add" -- Charlie Munger (a man of few words...very concise)
    • Buffett: "Envy is the worst of the seven deadly sins...because you only feel worse. ...There are definite upsides to gluttony" [Buffett takes piece of See's peanut brittle from table] ..."and lets not get into lust."
    • Buffett (paraphrased): Always marry up. Find someone who make you a better person. The catch is you need to find someone who is willing to marry down.
    • Buffett & Munger in response to ("How does a 10-yr-old get rich?"): Read everything you can get your hands on. (By age 10, Buffett had finished all investing/finance books in his local library..twice! Oh and he sold newspapers.)
    • Munger on heroes: “You are not restricted to picking living people as your heroes. Some of the best people are dead.” (Think Ben Franklin..)
    • Noteworthy links: 1) Stockholders' questions summary 2) Ultimate 2007 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting Guide

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May 2, 2007

Chargle Jukebox: A New Music Mashup

Chargle Jukebox

chargle_jukebox

Just when we hear about "Save Pandora" last April... my dearest friend Charles Yong (Berkeley, '07) gives me a sneak preview of one of his latest projects: Chargle Jukebox Beta (Click Stable version only, and type any song name into the box provided.).

What is it?

In a nutshell, Chargle Jukebox takes what you can normally do through traditional search on, say, YouTube, and immediately tries to match your song video, returning the song of highest relevance. Instead of trying to search through several music videos, Chargle Jukebox directly connects you. Currently, it searches through video networks such as YouTube, Google Video, Daily Motion, and Veoh.

Why is it cool?

  • Simple, easy-to-use, and elegant. Enough said.
  • Efficiently leverages and aggregates existing music. Similar to sites like radio.blog.club, Chargle Jukebox streams data from existing music video sites. Unlike radio.blog.club, Chargle Jukebox incorporates "rich media" video (which may or may not be desirable for pure music listeners).
  • Future richer web. Build a social networking component? I think it'd be interesting to see this type of functionality incorporated to an existing music social music community like Last.fm. This only enhances the end-user front-end music listening and discovery.
  • Easily scalable and deployable. Did I mention that my genius programmer friend Charles coded this project in just only 2 days?
  • Future potential. Sure, the player can be more feature-rich, but this model of streaming data from -multiple existing sources- can be applied to all web media, not just music. Mashups are definitely the future of the web.

Face Behind Chargle

Charles Yong deserves more than just a paragraph to describe him, but I do want to say a few things. Hands down -- he is one of the most talented, most well-rounded people I've ever met. Aside from being an amazingly talented programmer, he's actually a premed (soon-to-be medical student as he was accepted to medical schools like Yale) senior at Berkeley. I had known Charles since high school, where he was equally as impressive. Charles was an all-star student at Rancho Cotate High School: 4.91 GPA (Is that even possible?), President of the Interact Club, Founder of Stepping Stones program bringing high-school students to local elementary schools to make presentations about goal-setting, Senior Teen Attorney for the Teen Court, Tutor/Mentor, Varsity Tennis Team, 2nd Degree Karate Black Belt, Received the Youth Summer Research Award, Completed a summer internship at the National Institutes of Health, working with top researchers....(the list goes on I'm sure...). On top of all this, Charles is an extremely charismatic, social person and great to be around.

Now, here's a list of projects he has or is involved in (those I'm aware of):

  • Syzyx: pioneer AJAX-driven blogging platform (before "AJAX" was even coined and still has features which Charles says "does not exist on any other existing platform" such as Livejournal, Xanga, Wordpress..)
  • Below the Mean: comic strip on life at UC Berkeley (Read more press here. Please add closet "artist" and "illustrator" to list of characteristics for Charles.)
  • Chargle: Charles' personal homepage and what I call "true" personalized search :)
Charles, like I told you, perhaps you should reconsider medical school ;p.

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April 18, 2007

2007 Wharton Economic Summit

Last week, I had the opportunity to attend the 2007 Wharton Economic Summit. It was definitely a great conference featuring several amazing panels and distinguished world class leaders! Below are some highlights:

On Globalization and Outsourcing: Integration with India and China

Featuring Ashok Divakaran, Principal at Booz Allen Hamilton, Richard A. Helfenbein (W' 70) , President of Luen Thai USA, and Ramkrishan (Remi) Hinduja (W' 91), Chairman of HTMT Global Solutions Ltd., and Sashi P. Reddi (GRW '94), CEO of Applabs Technologies Pvt. Ltd.
  • CRT: Communication. Renumeration. Transportation. Particularly in apparel / retail industries ($400 billion global apparel industry)- Trends include faster lead times, quicker product development, better quality / quantity.
  • Why China? Not least expensive but -most efficient-. Abundance of raw material.
  • Current Stats: In 2006: $232.5 billion US deficit (up ~15%). US exported $53 billion to China (up from $42 billion in 2005). China helped lower inflation in U.S.
  • Still low penetration of outsourcing.
      Business Process Outsourcing (BPO)IT (ADM)IT (Infrastructure)
    ModelCaptive (moving to hybrid)3rd party outsourcing (moving to hybrid)Outsourcing model
    Industry$18 billion$30 billion$2 billion
    Percent Offshore12%>30%~1.25%
  • Software Service Providers: >20K employees
    2005 Data
    China8,000 (~5K employees)
    India5,000 (~15K employees)
  • India faces talent crunch by 2010.
  • Client vs. Delivery Markets
    Client Markets (United States)Delivery Markets (China)
    • Competitive pressures
    • Industry nuances / maturity
    • Exchange rate / currency strength
    • Local political climate
    • Wages
    • Investment in education
    • Governance
    • Political climate
    • Infrastructure
    • Exchange rate / currency strength
    • Population and demographic profile
    • Wages
    • Investment in education
    • Maturity of domestic financial markets
  • Challenge: move up value chain by changing engagement model for BPO
  • Challenges in India: 1) Communication semantic (3 ways to say "yes") 2) HR Management: need for non-monetary incentives (e.g. invite employees and their parents over) 3) Unpredictable government policy 4) Rampant corruption 5) Property value
  • Why Bother with India? 1) Huge consumer market 2) Professional management has depth 3) Labor laws flexible in some industries 4) Tax benefits may be as important as labor cost arbitrage 5) Things are fine as long as you don't deal with government 6) Improved regulations on transfer of capital

On Succeeding in a Flat World

Featuring William Fung, Group Managing Director of Li & Fung Limited, Geoffrey T. Boisi (W' 71) , Chairman and Senior Partner at Roundtable Investment Partners, and Reginald Van Lee, Senior Vice President at Booz Allen Hamilton
  • 10 Forces flattening the world. New age of creativity, connectivity, work flow software, outsourcing, etc..
  • Globalization of labor-intensive industries. Supply chains are longer and more complicated, spanning countries. No longer a singe country-to-country interaction. International obstacles such as tariffs and trade agreements exist. Movement of labor supply to "cheapest" country: Hong Kong (1970s) -> Taiwan -> Korea -> Philippines -> China -> Bangladesh / Pakistani -> What next?
  • Four tips for success.
    1. Have a clear vision and purpose. Requires having core values of character, trust, integrity with your customer.
    2. Know your representatives. Hire the best and brightest people on your team.
    3. Keep strong internal communication. Listen to clients and be problem solvers. Be at least 2 years ahead of the game.
    4. Control your expenses. Anticipate market changes. Use technology efficient to manage your resources.

On Leadership Ethics

Featuring Art Collins (WG’73), Chairman and CEO, Medtronic, Inc, Jon M. Huntsman (Sr., W’59, HON’96), Founder and Chairman, Huntsman Corporation, and Thomas Donaldson Mark O. Winkelman Professor; Professor of Legal Studies and Business Ethics, Wharton School
  • Be true to yourself. Particularly when it comes to reconciling personal values with corporate ethics.
  • Great leaders have a moral compass. In response to the corporate scandals of America (Enron, MCI Worldcom, etc.), Huntsman greatly emphasized the importance of taking responsibility and being accountable for your own actions, saying that we know what is "right" and what is "wrong" -- all of us are taught those core principles.
  • Don't be scared to speak up. Question authority. Be brave!

On Entrepreneurial Success

A fantastic panel discussion featuring Josh Kopelman (W '93), Managing Partner at First Round Capital, and Robert Goergen (WG '62), Founder/Chairman/CEO of Blyth, Inc.
  • Find "shrinking" markets. In looking for opportunities, Josh mentioned looking at crowded markets and trying to "shrink" them. Perhaps by fundamentally changing the business to squeeze out competitors?
  • There's value in delayed gratification. Self-discipline for one. Robert told this story of how he teaches his own children about personal finance by giving them money (e.g. $1000) but not allowing them to use it right away. Instead, he works with his kids to pick out stocks and invest the money for the future.
  • Get fouls. Josh made the analogy to basketball, saying that a great basketball player isn't "perfect" but is willing to take some risks (not play safe) in order to improve. Josh illustrated this point with his creative marketing strategies Half.com first employed when they got started. They actually got a town in Oregon to change its name to Half.com for a year. A small initial investment which led to millions of free mainstream media advertising!
  • Focus on incremental change. These are opportunities that are easier to spot and execute.
  • Use the business model as competitive weapon. Emphasize innovating on the -business model- rather than -the product-. Recognize different distribution systems for a given product. Answer "how can we make money" first. Cases like Google are rare.
  • Get a board of advisors. As an entrepreneur, it's vital to seek the expertise of those around you.
  • Think ahead and don't abandon ship too soon. Risk management and execution are key. Think of playing chess and considering 6 different scenarios playing out and how you would respond to each.
  • Acknowledge what you don't know. You aren't expected to know everything. It's OK to say "I don't know."
  • Open source dramatically reduces cost for business launch. For Josh, Half.com required $2.5 million investment --> Turntide required $750,000; and 1-800-Free411 required $300,000. Josh's thoughts on open source: "More businesses are failing more efficiently."

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The Art of Dealmaking

In light of some of the recent billion dollar transactions, Don Dodge poses some great questions in his recent post "Deal or no deal? The psychology of making deals:"

  • "Cisco could have acquired WebEx four years ago when the stock market valued Web-Ex at $600 Million. Why did Cisco wait four years and pay $3.2 billion?"
  • "DoubleClick was a publicly traded company two years ago and valued at less than $1 billion. Anyone could have acquired DoubleClick, but a private equity firm took them private less than two years ago for $1.1 billion. They later sold off two divisions for $525 million. Yesterday Google paid $3.1 billion for what remained of DoubleClick. Why did Google wait two years and pay billions more?"

Key Takeaways
  • Think more, feel less. "Even the best executives sometimes succumb to emotion, competitive spirit, and ego in high pressure situations. That is when they over pay and make mistakes."
  • Be patient! In contrast to the high-tech industry, "Warren Buffett made his money on boring businesses like insurance, manufacturing, retailing, consumer products. He never over pays for acquisitions and has a lot of patience for making his acquisitions pay off."
  • Listen to your gut. After all the strategic and financial analysis, at the end of the day, someone must 1) name a price and 2) make final call on deal.

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April 13, 2007

QVC: The Different Kind of Retailer

Quality. Value. Convenience. (QVC): A Summary
  • 2nd largest TV network in US (revenue basis): $7.07 billion in 2006
  • #5 online ecommerce site (general merchant): in 2006, qvc.com generated $1 billion
  • Reaches 90 million homes; 7.5 million unique customers
  • Receives 341 calls/min
  • Delivers 3.5 QVC items/sec
  • Business divisions: Home (36%), Jewelry (27%), Fashion (25%), Beauty (11%)
  • Target QVC customer: 85% female, affluent ($45K/yr income), educated, suburban, boomer (45-60 years of age), enlightened shopper
  • 5K - 15K orders/hour from 500K - 1500K viewers/hour

Why QVC is Different
  • Our competitors sell air (commercial) time. We are control freaks. QVC has its own network and invites special "experts" or new inventors to come on the show and introduce their product for sale. Not only are the products more unique (not found in traditional retail stores) but they are also presented and sold in a more personal, intimate manner. QVC's TV network also enables them to do more measurable, 24-7 real-time tracking of customer behavior (e.g. when customers make calls to purchase, when customers are watching the show, etc.). Coupled with the increase of internet shopping, this enables QVC to better measure the effectiveness of their business and make changes.

    "Welcome to the department store that never sleeps."
    --- New York Times (12/7/04)

  • "We are not about selling items. We are about pleasing customers.": This is the statement of Darlene Daggett, QVC's President of U.S. Commerce. QVC places extraordinary emphasis on customer service. Each phone representative at QVC receives 95 hours of training, including lessons on voice, tone, and pace.
  • Strong company values: 1) Underpromise, overdeliver. 2) No artificial stimulants: no markdowns, coupons, discounts. 2) Strict confidentiality: no selling of customer names.

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March 27, 2007

Why Emotional Relationships Matter

A follow-up from my last post on deep relationships---
Check out Susan Wu's post titled 'Why emotional relationships with your users matter more than ever" She claims that "emotional intensity" directly affects:

  1. level of attention user is willing to provide
  2. quality of interaction between the user and the product
Both these factors are more critical in today's "attention economy." Relating to online consumer startups, the strength of these emotional relationships create network effects and determine the closeness of the community.

Interestingly enough, she also draws an analogy between user-product relationships with real life romantic relationships:

Think about your most recent romantic relationship. The stronger you feel about someone, the more likely it is that you are going to 1) spend more time with that person and 2) explore the depths of the relationship’s possibilities.

My dad has continually reminded me the importance of EQ over IQ. Is EQ more innate or can it be learned? How do you learn (teach) EQ? This reminds me of how Wharton tries to teach "leadership" to all incoming undergraduate freshmen in a class called "Leadership and Communication in Groups" (MGMT100). Based on the mixed reactions from students, it's hard to measure the overall "success" of this class.

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March 26, 2007

Are your relationships "deep?"

The Standard Questions
  • Do you really understand the real need (sometimes unspoken need) of your customer?
  • Can you give the customer what he or she really wants?

"Creating Loyalty Beyond Reason"
This is the motto of Song. If you haven't heard of Song before, they are a "lifestyle" airline (later killed and absorbed by Delta) targeted mainly towards women. Song is all about creating a deep, emotional relationship with the consumer:
  • Experience creators. They have renovated the entire end-to-end flight experience from the time you punch in your flight information at the kiosk to when you are at the gate to when you are sitting in your seat. The pastel colors of Song are carried throughout this journey (Song logo/backdrop at airport, airport Song gate design, flight chairs, etc). Even the diaper changing station of the plane has the words "oh baby!" (white text on blue) written on it.
  • Brand the people. Song employees are not interviewed. They audition. People are taught "how to be Song." People talk about whether or not they are "Song" or how much "Song" they are. The company has turned "Song" into an adjective. (Like how Google has turned itself into a verb.) Are you "Song?"
  • Introduce novelty. Song is an airline, yet it has publicized itself in completely innovative ways, methods people would not typically associate with an airline. For instance, Song has a concept store in Massachusetts (much like the Apple store) where visitors can stop by for a visit. They have run a series of ads - print and TV - to convey their brand. These ads typically feature real, happy-looking people. The created scene is often magical yet not surreal.

The Real Question: Does any of this work?
The notorious saying goes, "I know I'm wasting half of my advertising dollars. I just don't know which half." After one year since Song's campaign, the team met for an evaluation of ad effectiveness. To their dismay, they only found that 15% of their target demographic could both recall their ads and associate them with the Song brand. What does this mean? It means there is a such thing as being *too* creative and out-of-the-box. Yes, you will grab people's attention, but they will not necessarily associate their confusion / surprise with your brand. You can't expect people to be smart enough (or proactive enough) to connect the dots.

Concluding Thoughts
  • Create a lovemark. Follow the advice of one of the greatest advertising agencies of all time, Saatchi & Saatchi.

    Lovemarks transcend brands. They deliver beyond your expectations of great performance. Like great brands, they sit on top of high levels of respect - but there the similarities end.

    Lovemarks reach your heart as well as your mind, creating an intimate, emotional connection that you just can’t live without. Ever.

    Take a brand away and people will find a replacement. Take a Lovemark away and people will protest its absence. Lovemarks are a relationship, not a mere transaction. You don’t just buy Lovemarks, you embrace them passionately. That’s why you never want to let go.

    Put simply, Lovemarks inspire "Loyalty Beyond Reason."


  • It's all about relationships. Not just with your customer but with your friends, your boss, your boyfriend, your children, your dog, and even your stock portfolio. It's how you manage and understand these relationships that really matter. I suppose at the end of the day, the essence is understanding what it means to be human. What motivates people? What do they care about? What are their inner wants and desires? Why do they do what they do? What are their stories?
  • Feeling > Thinking. "How do you think?" is on the outside. "How do you feel?" is on the inside. Getting to know the inside is what counts. How well can you read the inside?

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March 17, 2007

There's No Substitute for Human Interaction

Kathy Sierra writes one of my all-time favorite blogs, Creating Passionate Users. In one of her recent posts, "Face-to-Face Trumps Twitter, Blogs, Podcasts, Video...," she mentions that nothing can replace true face-to-face human interaction and provides great offline tips of how to meetup in person. After attending this year's SXSWi, she says:

The most underrated benefit of the face-to-face effect of conferences is INSPIRATION.

I agree with this point. While I believe that great books can also be very inspirational and life-changing, there is no substitute for human interaction. We are social beings after all. All the people that I have truly inspired me in some way so far in my life have been those who I've met face-to-face and interacted with in person. Particularly, when talking with entrepreneurs, I can feel their genuine deep passion for their idea through the way the carry themselves. Their vibrant personalities and energy level are absolutely contagious.

With the rise of Twitter, blogs, podcasts, Skype, LinkedIn, and video conferencing, people can now "find" and connect with other like-minded people easier than ever before. They can talk and work with anyone from anywhere in the world. For all these reasons, the Internet has been nothing short of revolutionary. The benefit of all these online tools allows people to be more productive with their time -- quickly shooting an email or sending an instant message are much less costly/more efficient than talking to someone over the phone or meeting in person. That being said, it's easy to rely too heavily on these modes of communication. Kathy Sierra reminds us of the bigger picture and how we should use online to -complement- offline but not to replace.

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March 12, 2007

How Long Does Your Competitive Advantage Last?

In my Wharton marketing class on advertising (one of my favorite classes this semester), our major group project for the semester is to create a new advertising strategy for Aquafina: identifying our target audience, what media vehicles to use, allocating budget expenditures, creating a few creative proposals on potential ad executions, etc. We have to produce both a final report and presentation. The top groups in the class get to present in front of Aquafina executives.

Today, the Aquafina folks came in again to answer some questions for our class which leads to some of my thoughts below:

Differentiation in a Commodity Market
Staying competitive in the water industry is tough, and research shows that there is little brand differentiation (Poland Springs, Deer Park, Dasani, Aquafina, etc..) among consumers of water. However, this does not mean that innovation cannot exist in this established market. Take PepsiCo's Gatorade or Glaceau's Vitamin Water for instance. New creative strategies aren't limited to just water. Remember the Axe effect? These examples illustrate that the key is really to identify a target consumer and build a strong, deep emotional relationship with them.

Date your consumers first. Then marry them. Get them to drink you all the time. The Aquafina lady said (I'm paraphrasing), "Advertising water is like a dating game. You first want to date your consumers. In the current water industry, because of little brand differentiation, it's like showing up to a party where everyone is wearing jeans and a black top. The question is, what happens if you show up with a white top? Will people think you are cool, or will you just come out to be a loser?

How Long Does Your Competitive Advantage Last?

The point the Aquafina lady mentioned made me think more about what it means to be different. Being different can definitely pay off. Some companies even preach it: Apple's Think Different. On the other hand, if you are too different, you might just be going after a non-existing market with not enough consumer demand. On the whole though, I've seen a lot of examples lately where going against the "crowd" is a great strategy in finding precious gems of value. In other words, companies derive their competitive advantage by doing what their competitors aren't doing. My hypothesis is that this competitive advantage may not always be long lasting. When other companies react and respond to what you are doing, the value of that "difference" becomes diminished (e.g. Tag body spray has entered to compete head on with Axe. In fact, their campaigns are so similar that consumers have thought Tag was actually an Axe product, according to David Rubin, Director for Brand Development for Axe North America):

How to avoid losing competitive advantage? Be responsive to market conditions and never cease to innovative. In others words, be observant. Reflect, think, and react...quickly. Whatever happens. Just don't get too comfortable with the way things are.

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"Making Things Free" Means More Money?

I was reading Josh Kopelman's latest post "The Penny Gap" which highlights the difference between a "free model" vs "$0.01 model" (model that charges any type of premium) and how the first has allowed for greater viral adoption of a product/service (e.g. Kazaa / Napster in music during the 90s and his own Jingle Networks, providing free 411 calls).

Moving Between Models

Interesting consequences Josh mentions for businesses moving between these two models:

  • From "Free Model" to "Penny Model": Getting users to pay anything at all is extremely difficult. Biggest "hurdle" to cross. Possibility of losing users.
  • From "Penny Model" to "Free Model": Ability to disrupt/shrink an industry (e.g. take those who are charging out of the game). This idea is especially interesting - changing an industry business model (better, making it free) as a disruptive mechanism. I wonder if this is the question the true industry-shaking entrepreneurs ask: What would the world look like if .... were free?

A Few Thoughts

  • Which model is best for your business? This of course depends on the end customer of your product/service. Consumers are cheap and want things for free. Corporations, though, may be willing to pay premiums for a better product/service.
  • What comes first? Users or the Business Model? I don't think there's a clear cut answer to this. However, from looking at cases such as Google/Facebook/MySpace and other consumer-facing Internet products/services, customer adoption is key. Customer adoption drives traffic hits which drive advertising dollars.
Related Article: Here's some interesting conversion rate stats between "free" and "paying" customers for four live web applications: RegOnline, Feedburner, Wufoo, and Blinksale.

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March 3, 2007

The Social Web

People are inherently social beings, and it's no surprise that the web is moving in that direction.

Latest Observations
  • More niche social networks, more application across industries and sectors: On top of social networking sites (MySpace/Facebook), social music sites (last.fm), social video sites (YouTube), here are a few examples from the professional world this NYT article:
    • Corporations: Cisco recently purchased technological assets of Tribe.net. In the future, company employees will more easily do internal searches, network with one another, schedule events, etc. They can use these networks to spread buzz on company products or events.
    • Politics: Check out My.Barack.Obama. Politicians can now use the web as a tool to gain widespread support.
    • Education: School 2.0 is reinventing education for the future. While this process is slowest (since training and adoption rate is slow - see below), once the initial infrastructure is built, this effort can easily scale. Students and teachers can more easily communicate and collaborate online (grading sheets, course materials, club websites, etc.).
  • Social networking for everyone: Ning, a social networking site founded by Netscape co-creator Marc Andreessen, has recently been getting a lot of buzz for allowing users to create their own social networks (example: site for American Idol fans):

    From eBay sellers in Upstate New York to bead store owners in Maine, aspiring hip hop artists in New Jersey, pop culture junkies in New York City, college professors in Germany, young deviant artists in North Carolina, and even a few big media companies in LA, with Ning anyone can create the perfect social network for them.

Issues
  • Organization of social networks and finding the "right" users: With all these niche social networks out there, how can we avoid duplicates? How can users quickly discover the networks they want? This really plays into the larger problem of organizing data on the web already. I suppose this is where Ning has an advantage in being a platform provider for social networking sites.
  • Gap between techies vs. everyone else: There's an extreme lag (adoption rate) between the digital tech world of bloggers, tech geeks, etc. and everyone else. All I need to do is to take a look at my mom or even my college friends. The bottom line is that changing consumer habits is difficult (especially in a short amount of time). Of course, this depends on the target segment. If you are targeting tech-savvy users, adoption rates are much quicker. Look at the success of MyBlogLog. Instead, augmenting an existing user experience sounds much more likely for success in the short-term.
  • Identity management: People hate typing in login/password information for multiple accounts. Is having one central location for management a "safe" way of handling this situation? The NYT article points to OpenId as a way for users to manage their profiles across social sites.
  • Social network visualization I'm a visual person, so having a way to visualize my network - be it professional, for music, video, etc. - would be really cool. Sites like Many Eyes are playing within this space already. Though this might not be a "must have" feature, I feel presenting data in an easy-to-understand manner will be key in later stages of product development. I'm a big fan of using graphics/pictures to explain concepts and absolutely obsessive about presentation. (Talk to anyone who has worked with me on a Powerpoint presentation ;p)

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February 22, 2007

25 Promising Net Startups

Thanks to my dad for forwarding the link to Business 2.0's "The Next Net 25" (with short blurbs I added on each). Some observations of this data follow:

  1. StumbleUpon - social websurfing
  2. Slide - make easy slideshows on the web
  3. Bebo - social network
  4. Meebo - web-based integrated IM (better than AIM)
  5. Wikia - hosting service for ad-supported community sites
  6. Joost - interactive web TV (made by founders of Kazaa and Skype)
  7. Dabble - tool for organizing videos into playlists of favorites
  8. Metacafe - paying video creators for their work (not just a YouTube)
  9. Revision 3 - production studio for geek-oriented online shows (started by Digg founder Kevin Rose)
  10. Blip.tv- platform for syndicating serialized online shows
  11. Fon - building a worldwide Wi-Fi network one router at a time
  12. Loopt - around-the-clock friend tracking via mobile phone (Facebook stalking to a new level)
  13. Mobio- mobile-phone mashups and widgets
  14. Tiny- Flickr on the fly (pictures on your cellphone)
  15. Soonr- access your home or office PC from your mobile phone
  16. Turn- precise, automated ad targeting for advertisers
  17. Adify- online marketplace for highly targeted ads
  18. AdMob- place to buy ads for delivery to cell phones
  19. SpotRunner- one-stop online shop for low-cost 30-second TV ads
  20. ViTrue- lets corporate customers solicit, edit, and upload user-generated videos that promote their products
  21. Success Factors- web-based performance & talent management (performance reviews, succession planning, and compensation)
  22. JanRain- single sign-on service for multiple passwords that lets people hop freely from site to site
  23. Logoworks- automates the design of logos, business cards, and stationery
  24. Rearden Commerce- Web-based "virtual personal assistant" application that smoothly integrates hotel and flight reservations, meetings, and other events into your daily agenda
  25. SimulScribe- effective way to convert voice-mail into scannable text (email, etc.)

Does Geography Matter?
GEOGRAPHY
California 72%
     SF Bay Area 64%
New York City 8%
Other 20%
Total 100%

While the data is heavily Silicon Valley-centric, it is worthwhile to point out that Silicon Valley tends to be more concentrated in consumer-oriented businesses; New York City is known more for media/advertising; and Boston is more business-to-business. This trend may just be a function of a sector analyzed.

Are you in advertising yet?
BUSINESS MODEL
Advertising 72%
Subscription 36%
Both 16%

Rich media video, broadband, mobile, interactive-internet-everything ...they will all be big.

Stats
AVERAGES
Employees 60
Founded 2004
Show me the money
FUNDING BY
Sequoia Capital 16% (4 out of 25)
Ron Conway 12%
Peter Thiel 8%
Benchmark Capital 8%

Hah, this chart really should be titled "who's taking away your ownership" (money, control, power...) ;p

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